Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has made 39.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Gordon Hayward has tallied 30.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-least field goals per game in the league this year (5.2).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease possessions for the Hornets.
On the road, the Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games at home with a mere 17.4 foul shots per game.