Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has made 39.6% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
Gordon Hayward has played 30.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup against Miami is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hornets.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, totaling a measly 17.4 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the Heat are on the road (7th-least in the NBA).