Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has sunk 61.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 16.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Gordon Hayward has tallied 30.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 81st percentile.
The matchup vs. Keita Bates-Diop is a good one for shots from the field; when squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year, they have made a colossal 49.2% of their field goals (100th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should lead to more plays for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year.
The matchup against Keita Bates-Diop is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Bates-Diop is on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game (16th percentile).

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