Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup against Michael Porter Jr. is a strong one for shots from the field; when defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a massive 49.0% of their field goals (96th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has attempted a mere 3.3 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 4.5 mark last season.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Michael Porter Jr. is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; when guarding opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game (4th percentile).

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