Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has played 30.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
Gordon Hayward has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league (23rd percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Wizards have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has made just 30.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit lower than his 39.6 mark last year.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The matchup against Washington is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Wizards are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
The matchup vs. Kyle Kuzma is a tough one for 3-point shots; when Kuzma is playing at home and guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have sunk a lowly 41.5% of their three-pointers (97th percentile).
The Wizards have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hornets.