Gordon Hayward Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has posted 3.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 82nd percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Gordon Hayward lands in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.1 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The 4th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Thunder.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Thunder.
Gordon Hayward will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 31.5 clip, Gordon Hayward's playing time has regressed this season to 25.8 minutes per game.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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