Gordon Hayward Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+152/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -179 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has averaged 4.0 assists per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Thunder will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the speediest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Favors Under

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance for all stats.

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