Gordon Hayward Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 10:04 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has put up 4.7 assists per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Gordon Hayward has averaged 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.6 fouls per game last season.

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