Goga Bitadze Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Goga Bitadze

NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Goga Bitadze has averaged a whopping 2.4 offensive boards per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.6 offensive boards per game last year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 9thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Goga Bitadze has played a mere 13.5 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 10.8 minutes per game last year.
Goga Bitadze has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Magic.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 13.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (retaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
Goga Bitadze stands to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing away from hom in this game.

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