Goga Bitadze Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Goga Bitadze has made 73.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 8.1% more than he's made in all games this season while at home.
Goga Bitadze has successfully made 100.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 66.7% more than he's converted in all games this season while at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 12thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a measly 20.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Goga Bitadze has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for overall this season.
With respect to shooting, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 107.2 points per game at home measures as the 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The number of shots hit against Rudy Gobert has been very low (5.0 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs this year (13th percentile).
The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).