Goga Bitadze Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Goga Bitadze has converted 72.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.2% more than he's made overall this year.
Goga Bitadze has successfully made 100.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 66.7% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Magic.
The Magic will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).
This year, the other team has secured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 37.5% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the league) against the Kings, designating this as a strong matchup.
The number of field goal attempts against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (8.5 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game (14th percentile).
Goga Bitadze will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.