Goga Bitadze Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Goga Bitadze

NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Goga Bitadze has made 72.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 11.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a strong one for treys; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 50.7% of their attempts from downtown (97th percentile).
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line: best in the league this year with 27.5 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

Goga Bitadze has attempted 0.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been very low this year (2.1 foul shot attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 20th percentile).

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