Goga Bitadze Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 10:18 PM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Goga Bitadze has successfully made 72.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 9 games on the road, 18.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Goga Bitadze has been on the court for 26.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for field goals; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 25th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.0).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 19.2% clip, Goga Bitadze's 3-point prowess has tailed off this year to 0.0%.
In regard to scoring, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 111.5 points per game ranks 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).
This year, opposing starting Cs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line.