Goga Bitadze Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:48 AM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Goga Bitadze measures in the 92nd percentile for scoring performance while on his home court with a a superb 64.5% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Bulls are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Relative to last year's 1.1 clip, Goga Bitadze's number of free throws has spiked this year to 2.1 free throws per game.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Goga Bitadze has sunk a lowly 0.0% of his 3-point shots this year, significantly lower than his 19.2 mark last year.
Goga Bitadze has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
When it comes to scoring, the Orlando Magic's feeble 105.2 points per game comes in as the 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Magic will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace road offense in the league this year (the Bulls).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have collected 11.7 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense).