Goga Bitadze Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
When playing away from home, the Cavaliers have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free throw line while at home: 5th-best in the league this year, drawing 25.9 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a mere 22.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).
Goga Bitadze will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Goga Bitadze has sunk 0.2 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.
Goga Bitadze has been on the court for 13.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Goga Bitadze has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
This matchup is a good one for threes; opposing squads have compiled the 3rd-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 20 games (39.2%).
The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Magic.