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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-118/-108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -118.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.When it comes to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 120.4 points per game with the home court advantage places 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 8.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's sunk overall this season.Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 7.5 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Suns, easily managing to get to the foul line.Giannis Antetokounmpo will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raise player performance for all stats.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last year's 28.5% mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's 3-point prowess has diminished this year to 12.9%.Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year at home.This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have tallied 0.9 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a tough matchup.The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Bucks.
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