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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 30.0% more than he's converted over the course of the season while at home.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
  • The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has made a lowly 6.0 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 7.0 mark last year.
  • Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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