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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

The Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.

The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a mere 13.8% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly lower than his 28.5 rate last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a mere 55.5% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 64.1 rate last year.

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