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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.2 minutes per game this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-best in the league) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a favorable matchup.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year.

In contrast to last year's 7.0 clip, Giannis Antetokounmpo's foul shots made have regressed this year to 6.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a mere 13.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly lower than his 28.5 rate last season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo comes in at the 76th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.2 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 8th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

More Giannis Antetokounmpo Player Props

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