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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 18.8 rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's shots have surged this year to 20.9 per game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 33.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Raptors, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has made a measly 56.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 64.1 mark last year.

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, struggling to draw fouls.

Giannis Antetokounmpo stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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