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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+102/-134).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -134.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted 22.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 39.4% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 12.0% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage.Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 34.1 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.With respect to scoring, the Bucks's fantastic 119.9 points per game places 3rd-highest in the league this year.The matchup against New York is a strong one for threes; when the Knicks are away from home, opposing starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.7%).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bucks.Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.In contrast to last year's 12.2 mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of free throw attempts has diminished this year to 10.8 free throw attempts per game.Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks, struggling to draw fouls.
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