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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has totaled 30.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
  • Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup.
  • The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.
  • This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).
  • The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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