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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 30.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 25.4% more than he's made from downtown overall this year playing at home.

Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

In regard to offense, the Bucks's remarkable 126.5 points per game while on their home court places highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (26th-best in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).

The Bucks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last year's 12.2 rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of free throws has regressed this year to 11.1 free throws per game.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to draw fouls.

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