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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 58.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 31.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing at home.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 34.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks.

While playing away from home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted and missed 3.9 foul shot attempts per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.4 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game while at home this year.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

More Giannis Antetokounmpo Player Props

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