Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted 11.6 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 35.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 5.4 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a positive matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Bucks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 23.3% of his 3-pointers with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the Bucks.

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