Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo comes in at the 99th percentile for shots from the field sunk while playing away from home, averaging a monstrous 10.7 per game this year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 33.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
With respect to shooting, the Bucks's impressive 120.5 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have compiled 18.4 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Hawks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 28.3% clip, Giannis Antetokounmpo's three-point effectiveness has dropped this season to 18.9%.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing on the road, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 12.2 clip, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shots has fallen this season to 10.2 foul shots per game.

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