Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 34.0 points per game over the last 10 games on the road, 3.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 58.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 33.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 123.1 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Chicago is a tough one for field goals; when the Chicago Bulls are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 8th-least field goals per game in the league since the start of last season (5.2).
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted just 10.5 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 12.2 rate last year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, struggling to get to the foul line.