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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Bucks's outstanding 122.1 points per game away from home settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.

The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted just 3.6% of his three-point attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 28.0 mark last season.

This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Heat are playing at home, their opposition has posted the 4th-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (38.1%).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Relative to last season's 12.2 mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shot attempts has tailed off this season to 10.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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