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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 29.0 mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's points per game have spiked this year to 33.2.

Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo places in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.

The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a lowly 4.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a significant dropoff from his 28.0 mark last season.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have shot 24.7% on threes (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted a lowly 9.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 12.2 rate last year.

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