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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk 65.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's made overall this year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (95th percentile).

The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (26.1%).

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a lowly 63.2% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 72.0 rate last season.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at getting to the free throw line recently: worst in the NBA over the last 10 games with just 16.8 foul shot attempts per game.

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