Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 21.1 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; their opposition have tallied the 4th-most threes per game in the league this year (13.0).
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home with a mere 15.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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