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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 65.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup against Miami is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (24.9%).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a mere 63.6% of his free throws this year, a sizeable decrease from his 72.0 mark last year.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, averaging just 18.8 foul shots per game.

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