Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted 29.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 9.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's played in all games this season.
The matchup against Indiana is a good one; when the Pacers are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (16.8).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league while at home this year.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 26.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied overall this season.
When playing on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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