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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 27.9 points per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted 19.5 field goals per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted 12.9 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 11.4 mark last year.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for three-pointers; while at home, opposing squads have posted the 4th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (37.6%).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsens stat production across the board.

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