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Giannis Antetokounmpo Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.With respect to shots from downtown, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 39.0% rate of converted threes ranks 3rd-highest in the NBA this year.Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.The Heat have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted just 3.6% of his three-point attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 28.0 mark last season.Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo places in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Heat are playing at home, their opposition has posted the 4th-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (38.1%).The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
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