Giannis Antetokounmpo Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 43.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 16.0% higher than he's made in all games this season while at home.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for threes; the other team's starting SGs have compiled the lowest three rate in the league this year (28.9%).

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