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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists
Player Prop - 1/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has totaled 6.3 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard recently: 95th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.9 minutes per game this year.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo stands to see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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