Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 2:13 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has put up 8.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's put up in all games this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 35.2 minutes per game this year.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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