Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 5.5 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the league in this category over this stretch of games: 93rd percentile.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 34.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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