Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 3:32 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 32.0 minutes per game on the road this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has compiled a measly 4.3 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.7 assists per game last season.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has brought down 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production across the board.

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