Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 32.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (99th percentile).
On their home court, the Lakers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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