GG Jackson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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GG Jackson

NBA · Player Props

GG Jackson

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

GG Jackson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

GG Jackson has attempted 7.7 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
GG Jackson has averaged 32.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 8.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 8th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 12.1 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, making this a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league).
GG Jackson should suffer a drop-off in output across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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