GG Jackson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

GG Jackson

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

GG Jackson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

GG Jackson has attempted 13.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
GG Jackson has sunk 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from three over the course of the year.
GG Jackson has tallied 26.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
This matchup is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing squads have compiled the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (33.8%).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.7 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted an enormous 23.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (4th-most in the league).