GG Jackson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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GG Jackson

NBA · Player Props

GG Jackson

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

GG Jackson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

GG Jackson has sunk 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 10.4% higher than he's sunk overall this season without the home court advantage.
GG Jackson has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
GG Jackson has averaged 23.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, resulting in a positive matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Boston Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage (10th-least in the league).
GG Jackson will likely see a decline in production for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

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