Gary Trent Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Gary Trent Jr.

G-F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Trent Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Trent Jr. has attempted 7.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Gary Trent Jr. has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The Raptors have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 34.4% higher than he's converted overall this season while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Gary Trent Jr. has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (79th percentile).
This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 1.5 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Toronto Raptors rank 5thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The Suns have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gary Trent Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance across the board.