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Gary Trent Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Gary Trent Jr. has made 2.4 three-pointers per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (26th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a good matchup.The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a positive one for shots from the field; when Irving is on the visiting team opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a whopping 51.3% of their field goals (90th percentile).The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league while traveling this year, which ought to boost plays for the Raptors.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last year's 6.1 rate, Gary Trent Jr.'s shots hit have been reduced this year to 4.3 per game.Gary Trent Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this season.As it relates to scoring, the Raptors's feeble 111.4 points per game at home comes in as the 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.This year, opposing squads have brought down 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).Compared to last season's 3.1 mark, Gary Trent Jr.'s number of foul shot attempts has regressed this season to 0.9 foul shot attempts per game.
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