Gary Trent Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gary Trent Jr.

G-F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Trent Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Trent Jr. has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the league (12th percentile).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has notched 101.2 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gary Trent Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 37.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Gary Trent Jr. comes in at the 14th percentile for scoring proficiency with a a weak 37.1% rate this year.
The Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
While at home, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gary Trent Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.