Gary Payton II Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has put up 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch of games: 80th percentile.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Gary Payton II will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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