Gary Payton II Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Payton II has averaged 1.2 offensive rebounds per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 2.0 mark, Gary Payton II's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.3.
Gary Payton II will likely see a decline in output across the board on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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