Gary Payton II Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2025

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Gary Payton II

NBA · Player Props

Gary Payton II

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 16, 2025

Updated Nov 17, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Payton II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Warriors check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 14 games.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 6.2 mark, Gary Payton II's points per game have regressed this year to 2.5.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Golden State Warriors rank 10thworst in in the league with just 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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